Many of the toughest decisions faced by
cancer patients involve knowing how to use numbers -- calculating risks,
evaluating treatment options and figuring odds of medication side effects.
But
for patients who aren't good at math, decision science research can offer
evidence-based advice on how to assess numeric information and ask the right
questions to make informed choices.
"The
ability to understand numbers is associated with all kinds of positive health
outcomes, including for cancer patients," said Ellen Peters, professor of
psychology at The Ohio State University.
"The
problem is that too many people aren't good with numbers or are afraid of math.
But we're starting to figure out the best ways to help these patients so they
aren't at a disadvantage when it comes to their treatment."
Peters,
who is director of the Decision Sciences Collaborative at Ohio State, presented
research on cancer patients' health and numeracy -- the ability to understand
and use numbers -- Feb. 20 in Boston at the annual meeting of the American
Association for the Advancement of Science.
Numerous
studies have shown that people who are less numerate experience worse health
outcomes. Peters says these are examples of the "tyranny of numbers."
For example, diabetics with lower numeracy scores have higher blood sugar
levels. And children with diabetes have higher blood sugar levels if their
parents are less numerate.
A
2010 study by Peters shows how skill with numbers can affect breast cancer
patients. In this research, women who had surgery for breast cancer were
presented with options for further treatment, including hormonal treatment,
chemotherapy, combined treatment or no treatment. The patients were given information,
based on their characteristics, on how likely they were to survive 10 years for
each possible treatment plan.
The
patients were then asked to estimate, based on this information, what their own
chances of survival were for 10 years with each treatment.
The
patients who scored higher in numeracy were more pessimistic than the data
suggested they should be. But their estimates of their own survival did vary
based on the numbers they were given.
"For
those who were less numerate, their survival estimates were pessimistic, but
remained the same no matter what numbers they were presented. It was as if they
didn't read the numbers at all," Peters said.
"This
is critical. We were giving them information that should help them choose the
best treatment, but they were ignoring it."
Other
research shows that less numerate people "rely more on their
emotions" to make health-related decisions. They are also more swayed by
how information is presented to them rather than by the information itself, she
said.
If
a patient recognizes that he or she is not good with numbers, how can he or she
cope? Peters said research suggests four strategies:
Ask
for the numbers. This may seem counter-intuitive, but research backs it up. In
one study, less numerate people were asked to estimate their risk of side
effects from a medication. Some were given numeric information about the risks
of a particular side effect, while others were told only that there was a risk.
When they weren't given the numbers, 70 percent of less numerate people
overestimated their risk, but only 17 percent did when given the numbers. They
didn't do as well at evaluating risk as more numerate people when given the
numbers, but they still did much better than when they didn't have them at all.
Ask
what the numbers mean. Along with the numbers, doctors should be able to tell
you what the numbers mean in practical terms. "If 80 percent of people are
helped by this particular drug, is that good or bad? Ask your doctor to say if
this is above or below average, if it is a fair, good or excellent treatment
compared to other options," she said.
Ask
for absolute risk. Saying that a particular drug doubles your risk of a
dangerous side effect sounds scary. But this is what is called a relative risk.
The absolute risk is more important. "If you're doubling your risk from
0.01 percent to 0.02 percent, that is much less threatening than if you are
doubling from 10 percent to 20 percent," Peters said.
Cut
down the choices. If you're given a bewildering list of choices for treatment,
ask your doctor to choose the best two options to consider. "It is
absolutely OK to tell the doctor that this is too complicated. You don't need
to have doctors make a treatment decision for you, but they should be able to
identify the most critical information for you to consider."
Health
care providers should do a better job in presenting critical information to
patients, Peters said. But when they don't, patients should ask for help.
"Numbers
are important, whether you like them or not. And nowhere are they more
important than when it comes to your health," she said.